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Showing posts from 2022

On the Current State of Russia's Invasion of Ukraine

Ben Shapiro has an interesting take on the current state of the Ukraine invasion, and what he perceives at the likely and/or necessary endgame for the war: https://twitter.com/benshapiro/status/1605899823491620866 Now, Shapiro is not a dumb person (even though he has plenty of viewpoints and opinions which I don't personally agree with), but this line of thinking exemplifies the idea that opinions are very often shaped by assumptions, and people can reach very different conclusions if they start with different assumptions (which may or may not be stated). In this case, Shapiro assumes that Ukraine cannot push Russia out of all of its territory (and/or that "defeating its invasion" is not inclusive of repelling Russia from all the territory which it has invaded, but only halting their advances). I don't know that either of those assumptions are accurate. Moreover, I somewhat disagree with the premise, in concept. The interests of the US, in a geopolitical sense, are mo...

On Biden's China Chips Strategy

 One of the more significant political moves which Biden has done, even if it's somewhat under the radar in terms of national news reporting, is the place extensive new restrictions on China's access to advanced semiconductor manufacturing technology. For a primer, see: https://carnegieendowment.org/2022/10/27/biden-s-unprecedented-semiconductor-bet-pub-88270 I've been trying to wrap my head around the motivation for this. After all, the status quo seemed fine from an outsider perspective, and aggravating China seems politically dangerous. It's also the kind of move which would traditionally be done by the more right-wing people in the US political sphere's (despite Trump's essentially "rhetoric only" approach to foreign policy, which was fairly damaging to the US efforts in general). However, I have another theory now, which I'll expound upon; no idea if this is accurate, but it's conceptually interesting. Currently, a lot of US semiconductor...

On Bad Decisions, the Brittney Griner Edition

I don't care about Brittney Griner. That's somewhat inaccurate, I suppose. In relation to her as a human being, I care about her: I don't want her to be abused, or mistreated, or killed, etc. But in relation to the plethora of stories and attention that her situation continues to receive, I don't care as much, and I certainly don't think any of it warrants news media or Presidential administration copy. If you need to catch up, here's the latest as of today, for reference: https://www.espn.com/wnba/story/_/id/34982248/brittney-griner-moves-russian-penal-colony-exact-location-unknown I don't care about her (beyond as any other person) because she's largely responsible for her current situation. First, she's a criminal: she brought known-illegal stuff into Russia, without respecting their laws. As Americans, we project our views and opinions a lot on other countries, but Russia has their own laws, and if you're going to visit there and you ignore ...

An Interesting Parallel, re Dmographics

So I was watching Jon Steward recently, briefly discussing Kanye West's comments about Jewish people in the entertainment industry, and the resulting backlash. It's not the main focus of the podcast, but it was interesting to listen to that segment (link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CVTXI-G0g4c). To summarize, Jon was discussing how Kayne has asserted that Jewish people controlled a disproportionately large amount of the entertainment business, and how while people generally objected to the characterization as anti-semetic, there was an undercurrent among some who noted that Jewish people were overly-represented in those positions relative to general population demographics. Jon was discussing (along with two of his writers, one of which is also Jewish) how that put him in a somewhat uncomfortable position, where he felt like more of an outsider who people felt the need to stand up for, and that didn't seem necessarily appropriate. The conversation touched on the paral...

How Twitter Could Succeed

Much has been made over Elon's recent acquisition of Twitter, paying ~$44B to take the company private. Many of the hot takes are just hot garbage, as you would expect from various marginal "news" organizations; an abbreviated selection with commentary: "Elon disbands the Board" (https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/31/tech/elon-musk-twitter-board/index.html). Note that this is totally normal, since he's taking the company private, no longer needs a Board to represent shareholder interests, and will save $3M/yr in the process. Also note that this was stated in April. Also note that Elon was very critical of the Board; arguably, this was one of the main motivating factors for the acquisition (ie: he thought he could run the company better). "Elon fires 75% of Twitter." This was a bogus story to begin with; current more reasonable take is that he's looking to reduce headcount by ~25%, which seems entirely reasonable. See: https://www.washingtonpost.com/te...